Polls have closed in Georgia as of about 40 minutes ago. We’ll be using this thread to track the results for the GA-Sen (D), GA-10 (R), and GA-12 (D) primary elections.
Results: Associated Press
[Update by Crisitunity]: If you’re looking for county-by-county results, here are the Georgia SoS pages for each of the three big races: GA-Sen, GA-10, and GA-12. They might also be a smidge faster than the AP.
For GA-12, the county to watch is Chatham (home of Savannah). This is where Thomas lives; she has to post huge numbers here to have any hope. Also watch Richmond (home of Augusta), where she’s mostly unknown; if she’s running even or close there, it’s probably a good sign too.
For the Senate primary, the state’s population centers are Fulton, De Kalb, Cobb, and Gwinnett counties. Vernon Jones’s power base is De Kalb, so look for big numbers for him there.
7:57PM ET: With 1% reporting, Martin holds a 41-32 lead over Jones. Over in GA-10, with just a handful of precincts reporting, Broun holds a big 76-24 lead. No numbers yet from GA-12.
9:04 ET: Things are becoming pretty clear in the House races. In GA-12, with 36% reporting, Barrow has 80.5%, Thomas has 19.5%. One caveat: no votes reported yet from Chatham County, where Thomas is from. But she’s way down everywhere else, so this one looks DOA. In GA-10, with 45% reporting, Broun has 73.5%, Fleming has 26.5%. Looks like the local GOP establishment wound up with egg on their faces over this one.
Shades of an upset in the making in the Senate primary? With 23% reporting, Martin is in the lead, with 39.3%. Jones would make the runoff, with 35.5% reporting. Lagging behind it’s Cardwell at 14.8%, Lanier at 5.5%, and Knight at 4.9%. Bear in mind, though: no votes from Fulton or DeKalb counties, so the Atlanta area hasn’t weighed in yet.
10:00 PM ET: In GA-Sen 57% are reporting. The Atlanta area votes are starting to come in, and Jones has pulled into the lead, with 38%. Martin is close at 35%; it’s pretty clear they’ll be in the runoff together. (Cardwell is 3rd at 16%.) Jones is up big in DeKalb and Clayton counties (black-majority burbs), but Martin is holding even with Jones in Fulton (Atlanta) and Cobb, so that bodes well for Martin in the runoff.
AP has called GA-10 for Broun, 72% to 28% with 86% reporting. GA-12 isn’t called yet, but Barrow is up 76% to 24% with 62% reporting. Thomas is even with Barrow in Chatham and getting swamped everywhere else, so this one’s over too.
11:05 PM ET: OK, we’re about done here. AP has called GA-Sen (runoff between Jones and Martin) and GA-12 (Barrow). As more Atlanta area ballots come in, Jones is a little further ahead at 41%, with Martin at 34%. Interestingly, Jones did better in black-majority downstate counties (like Chatham (Savannah) and Dougherty (Albany)) than in DeKalb, indicating that maybe the more people know him, the less likely they are to vote for him.
A few other minor notes: Jim Marshall won his primary in GA-08 easily, beating Robert Nowak 86% to 14%. The winner of the GOP primary in GA-12, who’ll get flattened by Barrow in November, is former congressional aide John Stone, who escaped a runoff by winning the three-way race with 59%. And the closest primary challenges were actually the lowest profile ones (the ‘you supported Clinton!’ ones): in GA-05 John Lewis got 68% against Markel Hutchins (17%) and Mable Thomas (15%). In GA-13 David Scott got only 64% against Donzella James (36%); Scott faces off against Deborah “The Defrauder” Honeycutt’s vast resources in November.
That’s why Josh Lanier is doing well and Rand Knight isn’t.
gets the majority?
I’ll eat my hat.
Lanier is a great guy and has fantastic policies but simply has no chance whatsoever and is not running a viable campaign. Knight is a great guy running a more viable campaign and is backed by the AFL-CIO and other unions but he starts out with zero name rec like Lanier (unlike Martin who ran a statewide campaign, Caldwell who was a TV reporter and Jones who is the most unpopular and powerful people in GA politics) and the fact is Knight just has not raised enough money to build up that name rec and win.
Caldwell and Jones would be horrible and so I’m left with Martin. He’s not amazing but he’s the only one who will make a real run of the GE and the only one who can beat Jones in a runoff. My prediction is Jones 35/Martin 30/Caldwell 20/Knight 10/Lanier 5. Martin wins the runoff 60/40.
Also I hope Thomas (and Robert Nowak) win their primary campaigns but neither has been able to put a serious campaign together and I don’t have my hopes up.
I’ll take anyone over Vernon Jones, who talks like a Republican, essentially. Has anyone told him that he represents a 73% Kerry constituency, full of those “liberals”?
Also, you can get county-by-county results from the AP by switching the “by_state” in the URL to “by_county”.
Broun leads in Richmond, Columbia, McDuffie, and Lincoln Counties. The 10th district has a divide between the Northern part (Athens) and the Southern party (Augusta). Broun is leading in both areas. Very good sign for him.
you can sort of handicap the race for 1st between martin and jones by viewing which congressional districts were reported… for instance, jones jumped even with martin when barrow’s district came in, which is heavily black (to no avail for regina thomas)
is significanly hampered that they aren’t reporting results for unchallenged primaries… but when Lewis’s district has more than 0% in we might get a sense of how big a bump Jones gets out of misrepresenting his proximity to obama
Jones has taken the lead. DeKalb and Fulton are STILL completely out. Not good.
Jim Powell wins the Dem nomination for PSC District 4.
Paul Broun wins the Republican nomination for U.S. House district 10.
John Barrow wins the Dem nomination for U.S. House district 12.
Jeff Lewis (R-Cartersville), a whore of oil and gas companies, looks like he’s lost his primary lot Paul Battles. Battles leads 51.4-48.6 (130 votes) with one more precinct left.
Has anyone else noticed that Broun and Barrow, who were supposed to be vulnerable are doing better in their primaries than Lewis and Scott, who weren’t? What’s up with that?
Such a scenario is likely, too. The question is between which two candidates.
The heavy African American boxes are always the last to report especially in the big southern cities.
Judging by the variety of hats she wears in her official photos, she might have a few to spare.
I should have thought of that one. Candidates who refuse to raise money can’t win.
bold prediction based only on patterns
Jones wins plurality of primary with 38% then loses runoff with about 38% of the vote. Jim Martin looks like the best candidate by a fair margin.
——————————————————————————–
by: st paul sage @ Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 2:23 PM EDT
[ Reply ]
Now the part where Jim Martin picks up the rest of the democrats in the runoff. Vernon Jones is a toxic GOP f-up. This will not be a racial vote – it will be a democratic vote. Democrats won’t generally vote for a guy who claims to have voted twice for W, no matter what color he is. Go Jim Martin!
I just noticed that Vernon Jones doesn’t even have a majority in DeKalb.